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I am a little concerned about the weather the next 5 days. A very persistent upper disturbance will remain over the Upper Ohio Valley. This will keep showers and thunderstorms active from Western PA to Washington D.C. Friday, a cold front will approach from the northwest, and this combined with the upper disturbance remaining over the area, will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to all areas. I just hope that it doesn't linger for a week like it did in early June. This poses a problem for outdoor activities as showers and storms may pop up at any given time.
Check out the above fluctuations in the high temps that were forecasted the past 10 days. I did the number crunching and some of the predictions were off as much as 12 degrees. The reason for this is the wave of hot weather bypassed around an area of low pressure, pushing most of the soaring temps into Canada. Yesterday it was 94 degrees in International Falls, which is usually the coolest spot in the country.
Great time to get out to the ocean and go for a swim. Ocean temps are starting to heat up and reading in the mid 70's across much of the area. With the Gulf stream eddies starting to break off, we'll see milder water conditions into August.
I worked with a Dalila years ago. She was a total sweetheart. This storm can't have that all that much punch with a name like that. The storm is currently located over Pacific waters. Meteorologist Jonathan Pacheco of Accuweather reports as of 8 p.m. PDT Tuesday evening, Dalila was located near 18.2 north and 110.6 west, or about 400 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with gusts to 70 mph. The central pressure remains at 997 mb, or 29.44 inches of mercury. Current movement of Dalila is to the north-northwest at 7 mph. A general north-northwest track is expected over the next day or two, then a turn more to the west later this week. Some further strengthening to near hurricane status is possible over the next day or two, before the storm begins to encounters much cooler waters. Dalila poses no immediate threat to any land. Elsewhere across the east Pacific, there are no tropical features.
It's still a week away, but forecasters from all over are predicting a major heat wave to impact most of the US and Canada. Accuweather.com has actually been predicting the heat wave for a few weeks and believe it or not, claimed there would be a major warm up in the second half of the summer back in May. Well done. The core heat is building from the west and will spread to the Midwest and East by Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to soar into the mid 90's.
According to NOAA forecasters will now use a new Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast Model to predict the track and strength of storms this hurricane season. HWRF is a new computer model that will serve as the operational backbone for current and future hurricane track and intensity forecasts by meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in Miami. The model utilizes highly advanced physics of the atmosphere, ocean and waves in one prediction system. It will provide an understanding of the science of tropical cyclone evolution. Its output gives meteorologists an analysis of the hurricane in three-dimensions from real-time airborne Doppler radar. It will make use of a wide variety of observations from satellites, data buoys, and hurricane hunter aircraft. No other hurricane model accesses this wide of a range of meteorological information.
On Wednesday, snow fell in the Argentine capital Buenos Aires for the first time since 1918. Argentina's National Weather Service said it was the first major snow in Buenos Aires since June 22, 1918, though sleet and freezing rain have been periodically reported in the decades since. Buenos Aires recorded its first snowfall in more than 30 years, threatening to exacerbate an energy shortage in the country that has forced the government to reduce electricity and natural gas supplies to businesses.
Typhoon Man-Yi strengthened in the Pacific Ocean just west of Guam and is forecast to gain in force as it heads for southwestern Japan. The latest advisory was issued by the U.S Navy. The storm is expected to reach maximum sustained winds as high as 160 mph. Man-Yi is the name of an old strait in Hong Kong that was dammed and turned into a reservoir, according to the Web site of the Hong Kong Observatory, which lists cyclone names in use in the Pacific. The eye of Man-Yi, the fourth named storm of this year's western Pacific cyclone season, was located 806 kilometers (501 miles) west of Dadedo on Guam at 3 p.m. Tokyo time on Wednesday. All quiet here in the Atlantic and no immediate areas for development either. The ocean temps are really starting to heat up. Typically July is not too busy, but August is expected to be busy.
The heat and humidity will soon come to and end as a cold front approaches our area on Wednesday. Don't be surprised to encounter a quick downpour later in the day on Wednesday. The cool area slamming into the hot humid mass will cause for a bit of instability in the atmosphere and cause these storms to build quickly. After the front comes through, we should see some cooler drier air which will bring much relief on Thursday and into Friday. photo by getty images.

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I took Eric along fishing, we struck out with no hits this time
Although, David was lucky enough to land this monster Bass Early in the week. So jealous! I will try again tomorrow.
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photo by Eric
A couple days ago the harbor and coastline was inundated with massive amounts of Sea Grass. Typically the harbor areas are generally clear. Can you guess why? Send your responses to jeff@acronym.com and if you are the first one with the right answer I'll send something pretty amazing in the post to you. Good Luck. FYI, today all areas are clear.
Answer:
Three straight days of a North wind blowing across the Great South Bay. The winds push the grass into the south lying areas in the harbor and along the bulkheads. This is quite unusual as we usually have a southerly and westerly wind.
Winner(s)
Bryan Norcross (CBS Miami Meteorologist)
Billy Kolber-Stuart (Author\consumer Advice Extraordinaire)
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Fire Island Fawn, Photo by Jeff Ragovin
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Fire Island Blueberries, Photo by Jeff Ragovin
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Fire Island Sunset, July 2nd, 2007Photo by Jeff Ragovin
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photo by: Jeff Ragovin
On Saturday night, the full moon hangs lower in the sky than any other full moon of 2007, according to NASA. When the moon is low on the horizon, it can appear to be larger than when it's higher in the sky. It's all an illusion, scientists say, and it does not involve any enlarging effects of the atmosphere. Officially, the moon will be full Saturday June 30 at 9:49 a.m. ET. You'll want to do your looking in the evening. The big-moon-rising effect will be evident Friday, Saturday and Sunday. On each evening, the moon will appear nearly full. This shot was taken in Fire Island by Craig Schlossberg, Jeffsweather.com field reporter extraordinare. Craig, this was an amazing shot.
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photo by Eric