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May 30, 2007

New York City Canyon Sunsets

Truly spectacular sunsets this week.. Yesterday, Dr. Hamway asked me when the Canyon sunsets in New York City take place. I couldn't recall the exact date, so I looked in the archive of jeffsweather.com from last year. The dates fall on May 28th and July 13th. At this time, the sun is perfectly aligned with NYC streets. While the technical date was 2 days ago, you can still see it this entire week. The reason for this is that Manhattans grid is angled 30 degrees east from geographic north. On May 28, the Sun's rays fall exactly parallel to the Manhattan skyline. If you happen to be somewhere in the city that has an unobstructed view of the New Jersey horizon, you'll be able to see the sun cross every cross-street in city. You can check it out tomorrow as well and the next day. I shot these tonight. Truly amazing! It looked like supernova. As I walked away, I could barely see anything but bright white lights.


Sunset New York Canyons 2007.jpg

New York City Canyon Sunset 2007 2.jpg

May 24, 2007

2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Yesterday, NOAA released their "official" government forecast for the 2007 Atlantic Season. 13 to 17 Named Storms are predicted as experts the Climate Prediction Center are projecting a 75 percent chance that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be above normal this year—showing the ongoing active hurricane era remains strong. With the start of the hurricane season upon us, NOAA recommends those in hurricane-prone regions to begin their preparation plans. "For the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. An average Atlantic hurricane season brings 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes, including two major hurricanes.

May 22, 2007

Sunny Skies for the Northeast

NEw York sunshine.jpg Forecast looks good for this week as a large ridge of high pressure is setting up just off the Northeast coast on Tuesday. The ridge will remain in place till Friday resulting in dry weather and mostly sunny skies from the Ohio Valley to the East Coast. Conditions will also start to heat up as southerly winds will allow warmer air to move into the area, giving many places an early taste of summer. Highs will rise into the low to mid-80s as far north as northern New England on Thursday and Friday. Even the Appalachians and coastal areas, typically the cooler parts of the region, will approach 80 degrees as some of the warmest air so far moves in, just ahead of the upcoming holiday weekend.

A few of Jeff's favorite shots from the past year

I was looking through some photos and found a bunch that I took that are worth posting. This first shot I took last summer in Michigan. Great colors!

Michigan Sunset July Jeff Ragovin.jpg

This was about a month ago on the way back from Boston on the shuttle. Was a gorgeous sunset from the plane
Boston Sunset New York Jeff Ragovin.jpg

This shot was taken from my office in January after the first snow. The view is south facing from the 55th floor of the Empire state Building

Empire State Building South View Jeff Ragovin Storm.jpg

This shot was taken after our mild weather in early January, when the flowers were actually blooming. Sunset reminds me of summer.

Empire State South East View  Sunset Jeff Ragovin.jpg

Taken from the Flamingo in Miami Beach in December. Really stunning to wake up to!
Miami Sunrise Jeff Ragovin Flamingo.jpg

This shot was taken just about 1 year ago in late June as a massive thunderstorm moved through the city. The statue of Liberty looks like it was struck by lightning. I filmed this as a movie and cropped it as an image.

Statue of Liberty Lightning from ESB Jeff Ragovin.jpg

This was a cool picture of Virga over New York. Virga is when precip, could be snow or rain falls from the clouds but disipates before reaching the ground.

December Virga over new york.jpg


May 21, 2007

Sunny skies and high pressure today will replace the coastal storm that left rain over much of New England. Temperatures will be comfortable and allow for radiational cooling tonight. Areas North and West could see the threat of below freezing and create the potential for frost. Plant and crop growers are urged to take the necessary precautions before heading to bed tonight.

Frost in the Northeast May 21st.jpg

Fire Island Snapshots

Weekend turned out to be beautiful on Sunday. Drier conditions are on the way for the Northeast today and tomorrow. With the exception of a few showers over Northern New England today, dry conditions are expected over the Northeast through Wednesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms move into the interior Northeast on Thursday and become more widespread by Friday. After a cool start to the week today with near or below average highs, much of the remainder of the week will see above average highs region-wide for the remainder of the week. Here are some snapshots of the weekend.


Fire Island Ducks.jpg

Fire Island Bird Chrip.jpg

Alium.jpg

fire island beach.jpg

front.jpg


pool sunshine.jpg

sunset.jpg

amazing flowers.jpg

flower.jpg

poker.jpg

jeff ocean.jpg


May 18, 2007

Northeast Summer Forecast

summer heat.jpgThe Northeast summer forecast is out. Accuweather meteorologist Joe Bastardi predicts that the Northeast will see an above average summer in terms of temperature anomalies. This includes all the major cities along the corridor. The forecast is derived by looking at current trends very similar to those in the 30’s, 40’s and 50’s which were also over active tropical cyclone years. At the end of the day, we are in a pattern that may not necessarily be linked to global warming, even though many experts are pointing their fingers at increased emissions as the culprit. The prediction calls for the above normal temperatures to occur in the second half of the summer, so July and August should be hot months for us with a few bouts of heat waves. This is a concern for consumers as we will have to shell out more cash for energy costs, I'll just take many cool showers this summer!

May 17, 2007

Northeast Storm: Unacceptable Weather

northeaststorm.jpg This is May! The weather is supposed to give us a taste of summer and give us weekends to look forward to. The cold and rain is just unacceptable. I was in Boston today and the temperature was 47 degrees at noon. It felt more like a cold March day then late May. So what exactly is going on?? The culprit of this gloomy outlook is a sharpening dip in the jet stream that will take its sweet time rotating through the Northeast the next 3 days. The plunging jet will induce a low to form along a stationary front off the East Coast. Increasingly deep moisture will be wrapped into this front. We will probably start seeing rain along the coastal areas into Friday and could see up to an 1". New England should get the brunt of the heavy rain Friday night into Saturday. Hopefully there will be peaks of sun this weekend but no promises! Best bet, Bring an umbrella.

May 16, 2007

New Jersey Fires seen from NOAA Satellite

New Jersey Fires.jpg

Cold Thursday for the Northeast

On Thursday, a very cool air mass will cover much of our area as high temps will barely reach 65. The cool wave is the result of a large southward bend in the jet stream. Of equal importance will be the storm clouds that gather off the Southeast Coast Thursday. That disturbance will become wetter as time goes on and could produce a substantial amount of rain across New England from Friday into Saturday. Depending on the track of the storm, the rain area could back as far west as central Pennsylvania.

new york cool temperatures.jpg

Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 8 PM


ThunderNYC.jpg

Live Shots from the ESB

Chryster thunderstorm.jpg

south view.jpg

south view jer.jpg

Paula Took this picture from Hudson Street. looks like a developing Tornado!

Christopher Street photo.jpg

Late Week Coastal Storm

Some unfortunate news for beach lovers this weekend-- On Friday, a storm will spin offshore parallel to the East Coast. The question remains how close it will track and what impact it will have along the coast. It's still to early to tell whether it will be a complete washout, but the models don't look for bright sunny skies.


late week coastal storm new york.jpg

May 13, 2007

Fire Island Weekend Snapshots

hostas.jpg

jeff pool.jpg


lilyofvalley.jpg

fire island beach.jpg

weight on beach.jpg

cool pic branch.jpg

sunflower.jpg

pool.jpg

fire island scrabble.jpg

fire island cardinal.jpg


May 12, 2007

Fire Island: Mangled Deer

Has anyone seen the mangled deer lately? I don't think it made it past this winter. I took this picture two years ago. That was the last I saw of him...

mangled deer fire island.png

May 11, 2007

Thuderstorms Rubble through NYC, 5:55 am

thunderstorm over nyc.jpg

please don't as me why I am up. I keep trying to ask myself that question...

May 10, 2007

Severe Weather Thursday Night \ Fog Advisory for Long Island

severe weather.jpg

Long Island fog.jpg
Here is a shot of the fog rolling northbound into long island from my window

Have a Great Weekend!

lirr.jpg

May 09, 2007

New York or San Francisco?

One of the things I love about working in the Empire State building is the view. Today was a rare sight, and of course one of the few days I didn't have my camera. Good thing for my blackberry, I was able to capture the fog that rolled in past the Verazano Bridge and into Staten Island. This is a phenomenon known very well to local bay area residents in San Francisco. This occurs as cool air flows over the ocean and interacts with a warm barrier ( usually the mountains on the west coast but in this case, the land over Staten Island. The fog was also flowing north into Long Island.

New York Fog Temperature Inversion San Francisco.jpg


May 08, 2007

2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season - Above Average Activity Projected

Atlantic Hurricane Season 2007.jpg Meteorologists are pointing to an above average hurricane Season. Many of the climatological patterns currently occurring or projected for this hurricane season are similar to those of the 1930s through the 1950s, which was a period marked by frenzied hurricane activity. 13-15 storms are predicted this season, with three being a category three or higher. The reason for the overactivity is the occurrence of a weak La Nina - a formation of cooler-than-normal Pacific waters - in the wake of an El Niño at the end of last. The North Atlantic is also in a forecasted Pacific, and diminished dry air over the tropical Atlantic will also play into a big factor. All eyes are on the Florida coastline.

Subtropical Low off Carolina Coast

subtropical_low.jpg The subtropical storm is forecast to simply linger off the coast with some slight westward movement toward the Georgia coast. The current forecast calls for the storm to gradually weaken just off the Georgia/South Carolina coast during the next 36 to 48 hours. There is an outside shot of the subtropical storm transitioning to a tropical cyclone. Details of this storm will be closely monitored.

May 06, 2007

Great Weekend Weather

redmoonfireisland.jpg

hostasfip.jpg

daffodil.jpg

fidlowers.jpg

fire island sunset.jpg

mark kressel craft graduation.jpg

new york sunset.jpg

fire is sun.jpg


May 03, 2007

Atlanta Sunset


Atlanta Airport Sunset.jpg

Long day of travel to Atlanta, but took this great shot of the sunset at the airport.

May 01, 2007

Atlanta for the day.. Be back late in the evening

Forecast into the weekend looks sunny and pleasant

Last Nights Flight Video to Atlantic CIty- for Dinner

Dinner in AC

brett smith flight.jpg

New york 1.jpg

jeff ragovin flight.jpg

hudson river.jpg

sunset1.jpg

cesna.jpg

gps.jpg

landing.jpg